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Alaska draw odds · Elk

Alaska elk draw odds & harvest stats

Alaska's elk draws are on islands: Etolin and Zarembo in Southeast (Unit 3), and Afognak and Raspberry near Kodiak (Unit 8). Hunts with large permit numbers have drawn far better than the small ones, and every hunt here needs a boat or a plane.

2026 draw application period

Apply Nov 1, 8 am – Dec 15, 2026, 5 pm AKST

Applications are online only, through ADF&G. Fees aren't refunded, so double-check your hunt numbers.

Heads up: ADF&G hasn't posted the 2027–28 supplement yet, and that's the one this application period uses. Hunts, permit numbers, and seasons below are from the 2026–27 supplement and ADF&G's 2026 hunt pages. Check the new supplement before you apply.

Of the 13 elk hunts here with 2025 drawing results, 4 drew at 1% or less and 3 drew at 10% or better.

13elk draw hunts listed for 2026
12open to residents (0 resident-only)
19,600applications in the 2025 drawing
437permits in the 2025 drawing

Best 2025 odds open to residents

  1. DE713 Unit 8, SW Afognak Is 11% · 1,121 apps for 120 permits
  2. DE323 Unit 3, Etolin and associated islands 10% · 483 apps for 50 permits
  3. DE318 Unit 3, Etolin and associated islands (archery) 8% · 315 apps for 25 permits
  4. DE321 Unit 3, Etolin and associated islands 5% · 1,029 apps for 50 permits
  5. DE717 Unit 8, Remainder 3% · 1,432 apps for 46 permits

Among hunts with at least 10 applications.

Most-applied-for hunts

  1. DE702 Unit 8, Raspberry Island <1% · 3,579 apps for 6 permits
  2. DE711 Unit 8, SW Afognak Is <1% · 3,025 apps for 15 permits
  3. DE704 Unit 8, Raspberry Island <1% · 2,524 apps for 6 permits
  4. DE715 Unit 8, Remainder 2% · 2,069 apps for 46 permits
  5. DE324 Unit 3, Zarembo Island <1% · 1,554 apps for 1 permits

All 13 elk draw hunts

All species →
DE713ElkUnit 8SW Afognak Is11%1,121 apps · 120 permits2025 drawing
2026 season
Oct 8 – Oct 22, 2026
2026 permits
Nonresidents: Up to 120 permits; Residents: Up to 120 permits
Who can apply
Residents & nonresidents
Legal animal
One Antlerless Elk
Drawing results by year
DrawingApplicationsPermits% drawnApps per permit
201950012024%4
202052412023%4
202169712017%6
202271912017%6
202371512017%6
20241,2821209%11
20251,12112011%9
Harvest by regulatory year
YearPermit recordsHuntedHarvestedSuccess
201912046511%
2020120421843%
2021120461430%
2022120401845%
202312047817%
2024120511733%
2025*120471328%

Success is harvested ÷ hunted. *2025 reports may still be coming in.

DE323ElkUnit 3Etolin and associated islands10%483 apps · 50 permits2025 drawing
2026 season
Oct 16 – Oct 31, 2026
2026 permits
Nonresidents: Up to 50 permits; Residents: Up to 50 permits
Who can apply
Residents & nonresidents
Legal animal
1 Bull Elk
Drawing results by year
DrawingApplicationsPermits% drawnApps per permit
20194765011%10
2020631508%13
2021665508%13
2022627508%13
2023623508%12
2024583509%12
20254835010%10
Harvest by regulatory year
YearPermit recordsHuntedHarvestedSuccess
20195019211%
2020492015%
2021502229%
2022502000%
2023501000%
20245120210%
2025*501400%

Success is harvested ÷ hunted. *2025 reports may still be coming in.

DE706ElkUnit 8Raspberry IslandNonresidents only10%99 apps · 10 permits2025 drawing
2026 season
Oct 23 – Nov 30, 2026
2026 permits
Nonresidents: Up to 10 permits
Who can apply
Nonresidents only
Legal animal
One Antlerless Elk
Drawing results by year
DrawingApplicationsPermits% drawnApps per permit
20191,4471007%14
20201,31015011%9
20211,9041508%13
20221,8851508%13
20232,0151507%13
2024791013%8
2025991010%10
Harvest by regulatory year
YearPermit recordsHuntedHarvestedSuccess
20199938513%
2020150581221%
2021150691928%
2022150551222%
2023150692232%
202410300%
2025*105240%

Success is harvested ÷ hunted. *2025 reports may still be coming in.

DE318ElkUnit 3Etolin and associated islands (archery)8%315 apps · 25 permits2025 drawing
2026 season
Sep 1 – Sep 30, 2026
2026 permits
Nonresidents: Up to 25 permits; Residents: Up to 25 permits
Who can apply
Residents & nonresidents
Legal animal
1 Bull Elk
Drawing results by year
DrawingApplicationsPermits% drawnApps per permit
20192422510%10
2020285259%11
2021305258%12
2022344257%14
2023391256%16
2024322258%13
2025315258%13
Harvest by regulatory year
YearPermit recordsHuntedHarvestedSuccess
201925600%
2020259111%
2021257114%
2022256117%
202325700%
202425800%
2025*26900%

Success is harvested ÷ hunted. *2025 reports may still be coming in.

DE321ElkUnit 3Etolin and associated islands5%1,029 apps · 50 permits2025 drawing
2026 season
Oct 1 – Oct 15, 2026
2026 permits
Nonresidents: Up to 50 permits; Residents: Up to 50 permits
Who can apply
Residents & nonresidents
Legal animal
1 Bull Elk
Drawing results by year
DrawingApplicationsPermits% drawnApps per permit
2019972505%19
20201,099505%22
20211,281504%26
20221,190504%24
20231,181504%24
20241,213504%24
20251,029505%21
Harvest by regulatory year
YearPermit recordsHuntedHarvestedSuccess
20195024312%
20205020315%
20215020210%
20225015213%
20235026312%
2024491400%
2025*5016212%

Success is harvested ÷ hunted. *2025 reports may still be coming in.

DE717ElkUnit 8Remainder3%1,432 apps · 46 permits2025 drawing
2026 season
Oct 8 – Oct 22, 2026
2026 permits
Nonresidents: Up to 46 permits; Residents: Up to 46 permits
Who can apply
Residents & nonresidents
Legal animal
One Elk, Either sex
Drawing results by year
DrawingApplicationsPermits% drawnApps per permit
2019627508%13
2020652508%13
2021983505%20
20221,249504%25
20231,333504%27
20241,617463%35
20251,432463%31
Harvest by regulatory year
YearPermit recordsHuntedHarvestedSuccess
201950341544%
202050261558%
202150371951%
202250332164%
202350332164%
202446241458%
2025*46311858%

Success is harvested ÷ hunted. *2025 reports may still be coming in.

DE723ElkUnit 8East Afognak Island3%1,046 apps · 31 permits2025 drawing
2026 season
Oct 8 – Oct 22, 2026
2026 permits
Nonresidents: Up to 31 permits; Residents: Up to 31 permits
Who can apply
Residents & nonresidents
Legal animal
One Elk, Either sex
Drawing results by year
DrawingApplicationsPermits% drawnApps per permit
2019739405%18
2020757405%19
2021834354%24
2022833354%24
2023841354%24
2024917313%30
20251,046313%34
Harvest by regulatory year
YearPermit recordsHuntedHarvestedSuccess
20194011218%
20204017741%
2021351616%
20223519211%
2023351200%
20243117741%
2025*3115853%

Success is harvested ÷ hunted. *2025 reports may still be coming in.

DE715ElkUnit 8Remainder2%2,069 apps · 46 permits2025 drawing
2026 season
Sep 25 – Oct 9, 2026
2026 permits
Nonresidents: Up to 46 permits; Residents: Up to 46 permits
Who can apply
Residents & nonresidents
Legal animal
One Elk, either sex
Drawing results by year
DrawingApplicationsPermits% drawnApps per permit
2019705507%14
20201,105505%22
20211,312504%26
20221,341504%27
20231,526503%31
20241,999462%43
20252,069462%45
Harvest by regulatory year
YearPermit recordsHuntedHarvestedSuccess
201950312684%
202050291448%
202149331958%
202250282382%
202350362569%
202446231252%
2025*46361644%

Success is harvested ÷ hunted. *2025 reports may still be coming in.

DE721ElkUnit 8East Afognak Island2%1,324 apps · 31 permits2025 drawing
2026 season
Sep 25 – Oct 9, 2026
2026 permits
Nonresidents: Up to 31 permits; Residents: Up to 31 permits
Who can apply
Residents & nonresidents
Legal animal
One Elk, Either sex
Drawing results by year
DrawingApplicationsPermits% drawnApps per permit
2019594407%15
2020705406%18
2021981354%28
2022892354%25
20231,036353%30
2024961313%31
20251,324312%43
Harvest by regulatory year
YearPermit recordsHuntedHarvestedSuccess
2019401000%
20204018422%
20213517529%
20223516531%
2023362000%
20243115640%
2025*3217424%

Success is harvested ÷ hunted. *2025 reports may still be coming in.

DE324ElkUnit 3Zarembo Island<1%1,554 apps · 1 permits2025 drawing
2026 season
Oct 1 – Oct 31, 2026
2026 permits
Nonresidents: Up to 2 permits; Residents: Up to 2 permits
Who can apply
Residents & nonresidents
Legal animal
1 Bull Elk
Drawing results by year
DrawingApplicationsPermits% drawnApps per permit
2019Not offered or not reported
2020Not offered or not reported
2021Not offered or not reported
2022Not offered or not reported
2023Not offered or not reported
20242,0701<1%2070
20251,5541<1%1554
Harvest by regulatory year
YearPermit recordsHuntedHarvestedSuccess
2019No records
2020No records
2021No records
2022No records
2023No records
2024111100%
2025*111100%

Success is harvested ÷ hunted. *2025 reports may still be coming in.

DE702ElkUnit 8Raspberry Island<1%3,579 apps · 6 permits2025 drawing
2026 season
Oct 1 – Oct 12, 2026
2026 permits
Nonresidents: Up to 6 permits; Residents: Up to 6 permits
Who can apply
Residents & nonresidents
Legal animal
One Bull Elk
Drawing results by year
DrawingApplicationsPermits% drawnApps per permit
20192,69912<1%225
20202,64112<1%220
20213,5136<1%586
20223,3626<1%560
20233,3946<1%566
20243,7266<1%621
20253,5796<1%596
Harvest by regulatory year
YearPermit recordsHuntedHarvestedSuccess
2019126583%
2020127571%
202165480%
202264250%
202365360%
2024633100%
2025*64125%

Success is harvested ÷ hunted. *2025 reports may still be coming in.

DE704ElkUnit 8Raspberry Island<1%2,524 apps · 6 permits2025 drawing
2026 season
Oct 11 – Oct 22, 2026
2026 permits
Nonresidents: Up to 6 permits; Residents: Up to 6 permits
Who can apply
Residents & nonresidents
Legal animal
One Bull Elk
Drawing results by year
DrawingApplicationsPermits% drawnApps per permit
20191,47612<1%123
20201,912121%159
20212,2076<1%368
20222,3406<1%390
20231,9506<1%325
20242,2946<1%382
20252,5246<1%421
Harvest by regulatory year
YearPermit recordsHuntedHarvestedSuccess
20191266100%
2020128788%
202165120%
202265240%
202366467%
202462150%
2025*65360%

Success is harvested ÷ hunted. *2025 reports may still be coming in.

DE711ElkUnit 8SW Afognak Is<1%3,025 apps · 15 permits2025 drawing
2026 season
Sep 25 – Oct 9, 2026
2026 permits
Nonresidents: Up to 15 permits; Residents: Up to 15 permits
Who can apply
Residents & nonresidents
Legal animal
One Bull Elk
Drawing results by year
DrawingApplicationsPermits% drawnApps per permit
2019844152%56
20201,159151%77
20211,643151%110
20221,791151%119
20232,219151%148
20242,445151%163
20253,02515<1%202
Harvest by regulatory year
YearPermit recordsHuntedHarvestedSuccess
2019156350%
2020157457%
20211512975%
20221511873%
20231566100%
20241555100%
2025*159667%

Success is harvested ÷ hunted. *2025 reports may still be coming in.

Other species: Moose · Dall sheep · Mountain goat · Caribou · Brown bear · Black bear · Bison · Muskox

Where these numbers come from

How to read the odds

  • % drawn is the share of applications that won a permit, as ADF&G printed it. "<1%" means less than one in a hundred.
  • Apps per permit is our math: applications divided by permits. 250 means roughly one permit for every 250 applications.
  • Party applications, multiple applications for the same hunt, and permits that change after the draw all shift the real odds a little, so treat these numbers as a guide.
  • ADF&G labels each table by drawing year. The "2025 drawing" results were printed in the 2026–27 supplement. Results from the drawing held in early 2026 will show up when ADF&G publishes the 2027–28 supplement, and we'll add them then.
  • Nonresidents need a guide or a qualifying resident relative for brown bear, Dall sheep, and mountain goat. Some hunts are guided-only or nonguided-only, so read the hunt page.

Sources (all Alaska Department of Fish and Game)

Drawing results cover 2019–2025. Data checked 2026-10-19. Download our compiled data (JSON).

Chugach Cache isn't affiliated with ADF&G. We copied the numbers from ADF&G's tables and wrote the descriptions ourselves. If a number looks off, ADF&G's supplement and hunt pages are the official source. Hunts and seasons can change by emergency order.