Home › Draw odds › Black bear

Alaska draw odds · Black bear

Alaska black bear draw odds & harvest stats

Only a few black bear hunts are on the draw. Most are Southeast island hunts (Prince of Wales, Kuiu, Kupreanof, and part of Unit 1C) listed for nonresidents only, plus two hunts near Anchorage open to everyone.

2026 draw application period

Apply Nov 1, 8 am – Dec 15, 2026, 5 pm AKST

Applications are online only, through ADF&G. Fees aren't refunded, so double-check your hunt numbers.

Heads up: ADF&G hasn't posted the 2027–28 supplement yet, and that's the one this application period uses. Hunts, permit numbers, and seasons below are from the 2026–27 supplement and ADF&G's 2026 hunt pages. Check the new supplement before you apply.

Of the 7 black bear hunts here with 2025 drawing results, 1 drew at 1% or less and 2 drew at 10% or better.

7black bear draw hunts listed for 2026
2open to residents (0 resident-only)
6,202applications in the 2025 drawing
393permits in the 2025 drawing

Best 2025 odds open to residents

  1. DL455 Unit 14C, JBER 2% · 1,220 apps for 25 permits
  2. DL457 Unit 14C, McHugh Creek <1% · 636 apps for 3 permits

Among hunts with at least 10 applications.

Most-applied-for hunts

  1. DL028 Unit 2, Prince of Wales and surrounding islands 9% · 2,072 apps for 190 permits
  2. DL455 Unit 14C, JBER 2% · 1,220 apps for 25 permits
  3. DL029 Unit 3, Kuiu Island 5% · 879 apps for 40 permits
  4. DL027 Unit 2, Prince of Wales and surrounding islands 7% · 797 apps for 55 permits
  5. DL457 Unit 14C, McHugh Creek <1% · 636 apps for 3 permits

All 7 black bear draw hunts

All species →
DL018Black bearUnit 1CSouthNonresidents only14%74 apps · 10 permits2025 drawing
2026 season
Sep 1, 2026 – Jun 30, 2027
2026 permits
Nonresidents: Up to 11 permits
Who can apply
Nonresidents only
Legal animal
1 Black Bear, except cubs or females accompanied by cubs
Drawing results by year
DrawingApplicationsPermits% drawnApps per permit
2019510100%0
2020121083%1
2021461124%4
2022651015%6
2023451022%4
2024421024%4
2025741014%7

Harvest numbers: ADF&G's Harvest Lookup doesn't cover bear hunts, so we don't show any here.

DL030Black bearUnit 3Kupreanof IslandNonresidents only13%524 apps · 70 permits2025 drawing
2026 season
Sep 1, 2026 – Jun 30, 2027
2026 permits
Nonresidents: Up to 70 permits
Who can apply
Nonresidents only
Legal animal
1 Black Bear, except cubs or females accompanied by cubs
Drawing results by year
DrawingApplicationsPermits% drawnApps per permit
201924510041%2
202026410038%3
202130510534%3
202253910019%5
20236078013%8
20244988016%6
20255247013%7

Harvest numbers: ADF&G's Harvest Lookup doesn't cover bear hunts, so we don't show any here.

DL028Black bearUnit 2Prince of Wales and surrounding islandsNonresidents only9%2,072 apps · 190 permits2025 drawing
2026 season
Jan 1 – Jun 30, 2027
2026 permits
Nonresidents: Up to 200 permits
Who can apply
Nonresidents only
Legal animal
1 Black Bear, except cubs or females accompanied by cubs
Drawing results by year
DrawingApplicationsPermits% drawnApps per permit
201977215019%5
20201,26117013%7
20211,17417215%7
20221,68218011%9
20231,99319010%10
20242,1771909%11
20252,0721909%11

Harvest numbers: ADF&G's Harvest Lookup doesn't cover bear hunts, so we don't show any here.

DL027Black bearUnit 2Prince of Wales and surrounding islandsNonresidents only7%797 apps · 55 permits2025 drawing
2026 season
Sep 1 – Dec 31, 2026
2026 permits
Nonresidents: Up to 60 permits
Who can apply
Nonresidents only
Legal animal
1 Black Bear, except cubs or females accompanied by cubs
Drawing results by year
DrawingApplicationsPermits% drawnApps per permit
20192783011%9
20203694011%9
2021439409%11
2022610508%12
20235115511%9
20245225511%9
2025797557%14

Harvest numbers: ADF&G's Harvest Lookup doesn't cover bear hunts, so we don't show any here.

DL029Black bearUnit 3Kuiu IslandNonresidents only5%879 apps · 40 permits2025 drawing
2026 season
Sep 1, 2026 – Jun 30, 2027
2026 permits
Nonresidents: Up to 40 permits
Who can apply
Nonresidents only
Legal animal
1 Black Bear, except cubs or females accompanied by cubs
Drawing results by year
DrawingApplicationsPermits% drawnApps per permit
20191805028%4
20202775018%6
20212305122%5
2022627508%13
2023529408%13
2024789405%20
2025879405%22

Harvest numbers: ADF&G's Harvest Lookup doesn't cover bear hunts, so we don't show any here.

DL455Black bearUnit 14CJBERWeapon restrictions2%1,220 apps · 25 permits2025 drawing
2026 season
Sep 1, 2026 – Jun 15, 2027
2026 permits
Nonresidents: Up to 26 permits; Residents: Up to 26 permits
Who can apply
Residents & nonresidents
Legal animal
One (1) black bear, except cubs and females accompanied by cubs
Drawing results by year
DrawingApplicationsPermits% drawnApps per permit
2019873253%35
2020893253%36
20211,110252%44
20221,040252%42
20231,080252%43
20241,145252%46
20251,220252%49

Harvest numbers: ADF&G's Harvest Lookup doesn't cover bear hunts, so we don't show any here.

DL457Black bearUnit 14CMcHugh CreekWeapon restrictions<1%636 apps · 3 permits2025 drawing
2026 season
Oct 1 – Oct 31, 2026
2026 permits
Nonresidents: Up to 3 permits; Residents: Up to 3 permits
Who can apply
Residents & nonresidents
Legal animal
One (1) black bear, except cubs and females accompanied by cubs
Drawing results by year
DrawingApplicationsPermits% drawnApps per permit
2019Not offered or not reported
202019332%64
202122131%74
202225531%85
202330731%102
202455331%184
20256363<1%212

Harvest numbers: ADF&G's Harvest Lookup doesn't cover bear hunts, so we don't show any here.

Other species: Moose · Dall sheep · Mountain goat · Caribou · Brown bear · Elk · Bison · Muskox

Where these numbers come from

How to read the odds

  • % drawn is the share of applications that won a permit, as ADF&G printed it. "<1%" means less than one in a hundred.
  • Apps per permit is our math: applications divided by permits. 250 means roughly one permit for every 250 applications.
  • Party applications, multiple applications for the same hunt, and permits that change after the draw all shift the real odds a little, so treat these numbers as a guide.
  • ADF&G labels each table by drawing year. The "2025 drawing" results were printed in the 2026–27 supplement. Results from the drawing held in early 2026 will show up when ADF&G publishes the 2027–28 supplement, and we'll add them then.
  • Nonresidents need a guide or a qualifying resident relative for brown bear, Dall sheep, and mountain goat. Some hunts are guided-only or nonguided-only, so read the hunt page.

Sources (all Alaska Department of Fish and Game)

Drawing results cover 2019–2025. Data checked 2026-10-19. Download our compiled data (JSON).

Chugach Cache isn't affiliated with ADF&G. We copied the numbers from ADF&G's tables and wrote the descriptions ourselves. If a number looks off, ADF&G's supplement and hunt pages are the official source. Hunts and seasons can change by emergency order.